Showing posts with label UW-Superior. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UW-Superior. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

UW-Superior Box Score Analysis

Opening Comments: Wow. What a suffocating defense tonight. I know it was UW-Superior, but Hughes dominated whoever was playing point guard for them. He stole the show literally from Superior and figuratively from Nankivil, Leuer, and Evans' performances.


Summarizing the game in a few words: UW won easily due to forcing a ton of turnovers, converting a bunch of transition baskets, despite having a very poor shooting night from 3.

Pace: A zippy 73 possessions, leaving the two game exhibition average at 74.

Efficiency: Was it offense or was it defense? Both, but mostly defense.

UW-S scored a lowly 0.64 PPP. They scored 1.03 in D3 last season and UW gave up 0.72 to BSU and 0.95 last season.

UW scored a decent 1.10. They scored 1.20 on BSU and 1.14 last season. Superior gave up 1.05 to D3 last season.

Shooting: UW took 17 more shots from the floor and 4 more from the line. See the turnovers…

3 pt shooting: UW continued to struggle from distance in this game also. They hit a poor 3-19 for 16%, while Superior hit a slightly better 5-20 for 25%. Edge Superior – plus 6 points.

2pt shooting: UW, again, was hot inside the arc. UW took 18 more shots and made all 18 extra. They were 31-56 for 55% while Superior was 13-38, or 34%. Edge UW – plus 36 points.

1pt shooting: UW took 11 FTA and made 9 of them, for a great 82%. Superior was 6-7, or 86%. Another case of quantity overcoming quality, UW had a plus 3 points from the line.

Rebounding: UW had a slight edge, winning the rebounding margin by 5, 44-39.

UW Defensive End: UW did a subpar job IMO, considering the lack of emphasis placed on offensive rebounds by Superior last season. They grabbed 30 of 41 rebounding opportunities, or 73%. In the BSU game, they grabbed 91%. Average in D1 is 67%.

UW Offensive End: UW was good on the offensive glass. They had 42 rebound opportunities and got 14 for 33%. This isn’t a point of emphasis for the Badgers, so anything near or above 30% is good.

Turnovers: Superior had 24 TOs, or 33%. UW had 6 for 8%. The low amount for UW is normal, but the massive amount by Superior is a surprise considering their ability to protect themselves (nearly identical TO% as UW last season). Forcing many turnovers will probably not continue.

Fouls: Superior had 16 fouls to UW’s 12. UW also made 9 free throws to Superior’s attempts. They have made 28 free throws, while their opponents have attempted 12 through the 2 exhibition games. I hope this trend continues into the regular season.

Playing time: Bo played 8 players more than 10 minutes, with another 2 getting 9 minutes. Still playing around with different line-ups.

Notable Performances: Despite being an exhibition game, many players had games worthy of praise.

Ryan Evans was not only the leading rebounder with 8, but stuffed the stat sheet again with 8 points, 3 blocks, and an assist too.

Starting bigs Jon Leuer and Keaton Nankivil churned out a highly efficient night, combining for 30 points on 14- 22 shooting, 11 rebounds, and 4 assists.

J-Bo, despite being 2-8 from 3, had 14 points, 6 assists, 6 rebounds, 4 steals, and 1 block.

Trevon Hughes… what a game. He did everything but turn the ball over (0 TOs). He had 9 points, 10 steals, 9 assists, and 2 rebounds. Trevon, long will the tales of your exploits be told around the campfires of my people.

Closing Thoughts: With a game like this, I can’t help but get excited about the season. Hughes had great court vision… Leuer, Nankivil, and Evans are flowing with confidence… the team defense looks great. Sunday is go time. It’ll be interesting to see how the rotation in a real game is managed, as Ryan Evans has gone from projected 9th or 10th guy to the first one off the bench tonight and getting the most minutes amongst the reserves and more minutes than Nankivil and Leuer in tonight’s games. Also to see where Berggren fits in and if Bruesewitz is playing or not.

Friday, November 6, 2009

UW-Superior Pre-game Analysis: A Stat Geek's Perspective

For the upcoming season, turumon and I will be sharing the duties of the pre-game analysis and box score observations of each game. I'll do my best to live up to the standard he set with all the stats. With that in mind, I need a few warm-ups just like the team, so here's a mostly unneeded pre-game for UW-Superior...

Opening Thoughts: I just love basketball season. I enjoy football and hockey, but something about basketball is just so much more satisfying to me. With each passing day, the eminent return of basketball to Kohl Center is, as the Padre says, in the air!


What the expert nerds say:

Sagarin doesn’t care about this game.

Ken Pomeroy doesn’t care about this game either.

Vegas odds makers don’t care either.


Style Profile, I Said:

UW-Superior Probable Starters

G – 5’9” Dwight Hill (12.4 PPG, 4.1 APG, 1.8 RPG, 1.0 SPG, 2.8 A-TO rate)
G – 6’0” Dan Culy (13.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 2.5 SPG, 2.0 APG)
G – 6’5” Ben Aalfs (4.2 PPG, 2.4 RPG)
F – 6’6” Jake Smith (17.4 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 1.0 SPG)
C – 6’8” Greg Roeder (2.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 0.5 BPG)

The Yellowjackets played at about the same pace as Marquette and UConn last season. Their leading scorer is 6’6” junior forward Ben Smith, who is a two-time WIAC All-Conference player and looks like he scores much like Jon Leuer, primarily inside with a shot from outside that keeps the D honest (51% from 2 and 29% from 3). Their scoring make-up (where the points come from… 1-, 2-, or 3-pt land) is very, very similar to last season’s Illini team… heavy amounts of 2-pointers (61%), with little scoring coming from either line.


What UW-Superior is really good at:

1. Protecting the ball. They only turned it over 16.4% of their possessions last season. Wisconsin turned it over at 16.0% rate.


What UW-Superior is average at:

1. Scoring. They scored 1.03 PPP last season despite protecting it so well.

2. Defensive Rebounding. The ‘Jackets secured a slightly below average 65.9% of all rebounds on their defensive end.


What UW-Superior is really bad at:

1. Rebounding offensively. If they were a Division 1 team last season, they would be in the bottom 15 in the category.

2. Defense. Their defense gave up a poor 1.05 PPP last season.

3. Getting to the free throw line. The ‘Jackets don’t get to the line much, as they only got 16.4% of their points from the stripe. That would qualify for the bottom 6% of Division I.


Relative efficiency: As noted above, Superior has very bad defense and acceptable offense.

When Superior has the ball: They scored a ho-hum 1.03 PPP last season, while UW gave 0.72 PPP to Bemidji State and 0.95 last season.

When UW has the ball: They gave up a bad 1.05 last season, while UW scored 1.20 on BSU and 1.14 last season.


Pace: Superior played at 68 possessions per game last season compared to UW’s 76 in their intra-squad scrimmage and game against BSU.


My expectations: Badgers roll. The Badgers significant athletic, talent, and height advantages combine for a similar outcome as the Bemidji State game.