Tuesday, December 14, 2010

UW-GB Box Score Observations

Opening Comments: UW avenged last year’s loss with a 70-56 win at the kohl Center.

UW survived a possible “trap game” after a tough road win at MU only two days ago.

Summarizing the game in a few words: In a game or role reversals compared to most of our recent games, UW had more turnovers, rebounded worse, and gave up points inside the arc, but won because of superior long range marksmanship and a large disparity of free throw attempts (and makes).

Pace: The game had 57 possessions. That is less than UW’s usual 60.

Efficiency: UW scored well again. UW put up an excellent 1.23 PPP. GB scored .98, considerably more than our opponent’s typical .90 PPP.

Shooting: UW dominated from deep, but GB canceled that out inside. UW dominated at the FT line, which was the difference in the game.

eFG%: UW sizzled with a fine 60% eFG%. GB was at 44%, close to our opponent’s typical 43%.

3 pt shooting: This was the major story of the game. GB hit 4 of 15, 27%, the worst any team has done against us this year. Meanwhile, UW was red hot stroking 10 of 17 for 59%. Yikes! UW outscored GB by 18 from beyond the arc.

2pt shooting: GB hit 19 of 42 shots for 45%. UW tried 16 fewer shots inside the arc – 26 – and made but 11 for 42%. GB got back 16 points inside giving UW only a plus two from the field despite the hot shooting from three.

GB outscored UW in the paint 26 to 18 and from mid range 12 to 4.

1pt shooting: UW cleaned up from the line. GB was 6 of 7 for 86%. UW went to the line 22 times and made a sparkling 18 for an excellent 82%. That provide UW with 12 points from the line, which was most of the game’s 14 point spread.

The “We Make More Free Throws Than Our Opponents Attempt” Scoreboard

UW Makes: 139 Opponent Attempts: 163 Difference: -24

UW got back 11 in this game. Maybe we can get this back?

Floor Location:

Location UW Opp

Arc 43% 21%

Mid Range 6% 21%

Paint 26% 46%

FT Line 26% 11%

UW has been scoring 32% of our points from deep, so the pickings were good.

Rebounding: GB had narrow victories protecting their glass and attacking the other end. Look carefully at these numbers. You will note why it is important to break apart offensive and defensive rebounds. In raw numbers, GB won by 8. But, the results were nearly a wash.

UW Defensive end: When GB shot, 34 rebounding opportunities presented themselves. Of these, GB got 12 offensive rebounds or 35%. That is a good day for an opponent of UW.

UW Offensive End: UW shot 14 fewer FGA’s, and made a higher percentage of shots from the floor (49% to 40% for GB), therefore 8 fewer opportunities existed – 26. UW got 8 or a healthy 31%. If you make your shots, fewer rebounds exist. So, despite having 8 fewer total rebounds, the results were about the same with GB having only a slight advantage.

GB had 15 second chance points compared to UW’s 10.

Turnovers: UW had 11 turnovers or a 19% turnover rate. GB did slightly better having 10 for 18%. However, UW did a better job of capitalizing off turnovers. UW scored 18 points off GB TO’s compared to GB’s 10.

Opportunity Index: GB won the OI. They had 4 extra offensive rebounds and one fewer turnover. However, UW ended up winning the scoring battle by scoring +8 off turnovers and -5 second chance points for a net +3.

Fouls: GB fouled 22 to UW’s 11. These fouls turned into 22 UW FTA’s compared to GB’s 7 FTA’s and a net 11 points for UW.

Playing time: Bo went only 6 deep with the starters getting double figures and Jarmusz 18, Smith played 9.

GB played 8 ten or more minutes.

Notable Performances: Leuer had his usual great line. Jon scored 22 on only 12 shots, 7-8 from the line. He added 8 boards. Jon has handled the pressure of being designate my favorite player admirably. Jon, I salute you.

Bruesewitz and Nankivil were ultra efficient. Mike scored 18 on only 6 FGA’s, 4-5 from the line and four boards. Keaton scored 16 on 6 shots, 4-5 from deep, 2-2 from the line. Keaton and Mike, long will the tales of your exploits be told around the campfires of my people. Fear the ‘fro.

Taylor scored 10 but needed ten shots and 3-4 from the line. He had 3 turnovers, as did Josh Gasser. After the minutes he played at Marquette and 37 today, Jordan, you deserve a rest.

For GB, Alec Brown had 18 on 8-11 shooting. Jarvis Williams had ten boards.

Grading Shetown’s Predictions

1. Badgers have an eFG% of better than 60%. Green Bay averages giving up 58.1% in this category. Hit. UW was at 60.47%. I had to expand the cell to see if it was rounded up or rounded down. Lucky for Shetown, it was rounded down.

2. Someone not named Jon, Jordan, or Keaton scores in double figures. It seems like it has been a while since this happened. Hit. A guy named Mike knocked down 18.

3. Badgers grab more than 40% of the rebounding opportunities on the offensive end and 80% of the opportunities on defense. Total domination on the boards coming. Miss and Miss. UW got 31% on offense and 65% on defense.

The Badgers win big over the Phoenix, 81-52 in 60 possessions. Hit. The game was somewhat tighter than expected. UW won 70 to 56 in 58.

Closing Thoughts: We now have a ten day break while the players take their finals. Bo has another strong team that should compete very well in an ultra tough B10. Sagarin has the B10 as the toughest conference. Link.

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