Opening Thoughts: With every team in the Big Ten having played at least 5 conference games, I'm switching over to statistics from Big Ten games only. Before doom and gloom looking at the numbers the Badgers have put up, keep in mind that they have played the two teams tied for third place three times and the sixth place team. So their numbers aren't going to be as pretty as Ohio State's, who have played the bottom three teams four times, and no one in the top five.
What the expert nerds say: Jeff Sagarin has Wisconsin as a 12-point favorite.
Ken Pomeroy predicts a 70-58 Badger victory in 59 possessions with a 10% chance of upset.
The boys in the desert have Wisconsin as a 12.5-point favorite.
Where Are They Now?
Indiana Likely Rotation:
Wisconsin Likely Rotation:
What Indiana is really good and bad at :
What Wisconsin is really good and bad at :
Relative Efficiency:
When Indiana has the ball: They have scored a great 1.12 PPP this season, while UW has given up a bad 1.05 this season.When UW has the ball:They have given up an horrid 1.20 this season, while UW scored a great 1.13 this season.
When Wisconsin has the ball: They have given up an horrid 1.20 this season, while UW scored a great 1.13 this season.
Pace: Indiana has played at 62 possessions per game to UW's 59.
Indiana's Good Wins (Top 75):
@Michigan (#69)
Indiana's Losses:
@Boston College (#57), @Kentucky (#7), N-Northern Iowa (#99), N-Colorado (#61), Penn State (#62), Ohio State (#3), @Minnesota (#45), @Northwestern (#40)
Wisconsin's Good Wins (Top 75):
N-Boston College (#57), @Marquette (#26), Minnesota (#45), Michigan (#69), Illinois (#17)
Wisconsin's Losses:
@UNLV (#15), N-Notre Dame (#34), @Illinois (#17), @Michigan State (#25)
My Expectations:
1. Badgers shoot better than 40% shooting from 3. The perimeter D for the Tanned One is awful, so I like the Badgers to rain from deep.
2. The Badgers shoot better than 55% inside the arc. With Indiana's frontcourt, I like UW to help out their 2-point stats immensely.
3. Badgers grab more than 36% of the rebounding opportunities on the offensive end and 70% on the defensive. They aren't great at rebounding and I hope this game can turn around the pitiful numbers posted so far.
The Badgers make Tom ponder if he should have just stayed in the hotel tanning room, destroying the Creek-less Hoosiers 78-57 in 62 possessions.
What the expert nerds say: Jeff Sagarin has Wisconsin as a 12-point favorite.
Ken Pomeroy predicts a 70-58 Badger victory in 59 possessions with a 10% chance of upset.
The boys in the desert have Wisconsin as a 12.5-point favorite.
Where Are They Now?
| Name | New School | Year Left |
| Bawa Muniru | Tennessee State | 2010 |
| Nick Williams | Mississippi | 2009 |
| Malik Story | Nevada | 2009 |
| Armon Bassett | Ohio | 2008 |
| Jordan Crawford | Xavier | 2008 |
| Jamarcus Ellis | Oklahoma City University | 2008 |
| DeAndre Thomas | Robert Morris | 2008 |
| Brandon McGee | Georgia State | 2008 |
| Eli Holman | Detroit | 2008 |
Indiana Likely Rotation:
| Position | Height | Name | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | Off Rating | Poss % | TO % | FT% | 2PT% | 3PT% | 3FGA Rate | FT Rate | Off Reb% | Def Reb% | Ast % | Blk % | Stl % |
| * G | 6'0" | Jordan Hulls | 32.6 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 154.3 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 50.0% | 58.8% | 2.94 | 0.7 | 8.7 | 15.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| * G | 6'5" | Verdell Jones III | 33.0 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 108.9 | 26.0 | 22.3 | 68.4% | 47.6% | 60.0% | 19.2% | 3.65 | 2.3 | 8.6 | 27.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| * G | 6'5" | Jeremiah Rivers | 22.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 115.0 | 13.4 | 20.8 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 1.58 | 6.7 | 9.1 | 17.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| * F | 6'8" | Christian Watford | 27.4 | 11.6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 98.7 | 26.2 | 17.8 | 86.7% | 36.4% | 36.8% | 36.5% | 2.88 | 8.4 | 18.9 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| * F | 6'9" | Tom Pritchard | 12.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 157.9 | 6.1 | 16.6 | 66.7% | 66.7% | - | 0.0% | 6.67 | 8.1 | 16.4 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| G | 6'5" | Victor Olapido | 22.8 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 115.3 | 26.4 | 14.8 | 68.2% | 51.6% | 42.9% | 18.4% | 5.79 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| F | 6'9" | Derek Elston | 13.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 83.2 | 14.5 | 26.6 | 100.0% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 1.43 | 3.9 | 17.7 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| G/F | 6'6" | Will Sheehey | 8.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 107.8 | 20.8 | 28.5 | 0.0% | 66.7% | 75.0% | 30.8% | 1.54 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| F | 6'9" | Bobby Capobianco | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 105.0 | 4.9 | 50.0 | - | 50.0% | - | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | 15.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| G | 6'3" | Matt Roth | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 137.4 | 22.4 | 0.0 | - | - | 40.0% | 100.0% | 0.00 | 12.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Wisconsin Likely Rotation:
| Position | Height | Name | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | Off Rating | Poss % | TO % | FT% | 2PT% | 3PT% | 3FGA Rate | FT Rate | Off Reb% | Def Reb% | Ast % | Blk % | Stl % |
| * G | 6'1" | Jordan Taylor | 38.8 | 20.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 126.0 | 29.8 | 6.0 | 88.4% | 45.0% | 33.3% | 42.9% | 6.14 | 3.3 | 10.8 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| * G/F | 6'4" | Rob Wilson | 14.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 58.7 | 15.2 | 16.6 | 100.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 41.7% | 1.67 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| * G/F | 6'6" | Tim Jarmusz | 28.4 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 150.5 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 100.0% | - | 40.0% | 100.0% | 4.00 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| * F | 6'10" | Jon Leuer | 37.4 | 17.6 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 106.8 | 28.6 | 11.6 | 88.0% | 42.9% | 36.4% | 31.0% | 3.52 | 5.5 | 21.0 | 12.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| * F | 6'8" | Keaton Nankivil | 30.8 | 13.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 136.7 | 18.5 | 12.1 | 90.9% | 36.4% | 57.1% | 71.8% | 2.82 | 6.7 | 15.3 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| G | 6'3" | Josh Gasser | 19.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 118.1 | 10.5 | 6.6 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 0.0% | 36.4% | 4.55 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| F | 6'6" | Mike Bruesewitz | 16.0 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 93.9 | 15.6 | 11.1 | 75.0% | 44.4% | 12.5% | 47.1% | 2.35 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| F/C | 6'10" | Jared Berggren | 11.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 98.0 | 16.1 | 7.6 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 1.54 | 9.2 | 18.7 | 8.7 | 10.6 | 0.0 |
| G/F | 6'6" | Ryan Evans | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 61.2 | 11.6 | 60.0 | - | 50.0% | - | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
| G | 6'4" | Brett Valentyn | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.3 | 14.6 | 25.0 | 50.0% | - | 33.3% | 100.0% | 6.67 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
What Indiana is really good and bad at :
| Indiana | Turnover % | Rebounding % | FTA/FGA | 3PT% | 2PT% | FT% | Block% | Stl% |
| Offense | 18.9 (#8) | 33.5 (#4) | 29.7 (#9) | 40.2 (#4) | 51.7 (#4) | 75.9 (#4) | 10.5 (#10) | 9.3 (#8) |
| Defense | 17.0 (#6) | 66.2 (#8) | 62.0 (#11) | 45.7 (#11) | 48.0 (#6) | 69.3 (#3) | 6.6 (#7) | 7.1 (#7) |
What Wisconsin is really good and bad at :
| Wisconsin | Turnover % | Rebounding % | FTA/FGA | 3PT% | 2PT% | FT% | Block% | Stl% |
| Offense | 10.5 (#1) | 25.3 (#10) | 39.5 (#4) | 35.6 (#8) | 43.5 (#11) | 85.1 (#1) | 4.3 (#2) | 4.8 (#2) |
| Defense | 16.3 (#8) | 66.0 (#9) | 42.6 (#10) | 33.8 (#3) | 43.0 (#2) | 78.3 (#8) | 8.0 (#4) | 5.4 (#11) |
Relative Efficiency:
When Indiana has the ball: They have scored a great 1.12 PPP this season, while UW has given up a bad 1.05 this season.When UW has the ball:They have given up an horrid 1.20 this season, while UW scored a great 1.13 this season.
When Wisconsin has the ball: They have given up an horrid 1.20 this season, while UW scored a great 1.13 this season.
Pace: Indiana has played at 62 possessions per game to UW's 59.
Indiana's Good Wins (Top 75):
@Michigan (#69)
Indiana's Losses:
@Boston College (#57), @Kentucky (#7), N-Northern Iowa (#99), N-Colorado (#61), Penn State (#62), Ohio State (#3), @Minnesota (#45), @Northwestern (#40)
Wisconsin's Good Wins (Top 75):
N-Boston College (#57), @Marquette (#26), Minnesota (#45), Michigan (#69), Illinois (#17)
Wisconsin's Losses:
@UNLV (#15), N-Notre Dame (#34), @Illinois (#17), @Michigan State (#25)
My Expectations:
1. Badgers shoot better than 40% shooting from 3. The perimeter D for the Tanned One is awful, so I like the Badgers to rain from deep.
2. The Badgers shoot better than 55% inside the arc. With Indiana's frontcourt, I like UW to help out their 2-point stats immensely.
3. Badgers grab more than 36% of the rebounding opportunities on the offensive end and 70% on the defensive. They aren't great at rebounding and I hope this game can turn around the pitiful numbers posted so far.
The Badgers make Tom ponder if he should have just stayed in the hotel tanning room, destroying the Creek-less Hoosiers 78-57 in 62 possessions.
No comments:
Post a Comment